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Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 16, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 1
Toluca

Molina (23')
Sanchez (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castaneda (25')
Triverio (66'), Rigonato Rodrigues (76'), Torres (79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
42.14%26.22%31.65%
Both teams to score 52.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06%51.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32%73.68%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59%24.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17%58.83%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23%66.77%
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 42.14%
    Toluca 31.65%
    Draw 26.21%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 42.14%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.65%

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