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Chinese Super League
May 2, 2021 at 1pm UK
Tianhe Stadium
SF

Evergrande
2 - 0
Shenzhen

Elkeson (21'), Mincheng (57' og.)
Yan (35'), Zhi (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wakaso (8'), Yuanyi (54'), Dai (82')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Shenzhen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawShenzhen
51.27%23.68%25.05%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92%45.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57%67.43%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38%17.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8%48.2%
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 51.27%
    Shenzhen 25.05%
    Draw 23.67%
GuangzhouDrawShenzhen
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 5.6%
3-0 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 11.14%
0-0 @ 5.62%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.42%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 25.05%

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