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HL
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK
New Douglas Park
AU

Hamilton
2 - 1
Ayr

Ogboe (19'), Trafford (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moffat (68')
Zanatta (25'), Chalmers (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAyr United
22.87%23.28%53.85%
Both teams to score 54.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52%45.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19%67.81%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02%33.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34%70.66%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18%16.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2%46.8%
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 22.87%
    Ayr United 53.84%
    Draw 23.27%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 6.17%
2-1 @ 5.94%
2-0 @ 3.33%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 22.87%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 9.08%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-3 @ 5.4%
2-3 @ 3.14%
1-4 @ 2.6%
0-4 @ 2.41%
2-4 @ 1.4%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.84%


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