SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fredrikstad in this match.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Fredrikstad |
28.64% ( 0.05) | 26.91% ( 0.08) | 44.44% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( -0.27) | 55.85% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.22) | 76.97% ( 0.22) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( -0.11) | 34.76% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% ( -0.12) | 71.49% ( 0.11) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.18) | 25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -0.25) | 59.65% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Fredrikstad |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.43% |
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