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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Briskeby Arena

HamKam
1 - 2
Brann

Simenstad (51')
Kurtovic (8'), Mawa (11'), Kjaergaard (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soltvedt (9' pen.), Didrik Blomberg (74')
Heltne Nilsen (29'), Crone (50'), Kristiansen (85'), Sery (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viking FK 3-0 HamKam
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Kristiansund
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: HamKam 0-1 SK Brann

Midweek fatigue will work against a Brann side who have been fond of a stalemate on the road this season, and one loss for HamKam should not undo all of their successful exploits before that. However, the visitors' knack for prevailing in this fixture coupled with their unbeaten sequence on the road means that they ought to avoid suffering the same fate at Bodo/Glimt, whom they should be briefly looking down on thanks to a hard-fought win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
HamKamDrawSK Brann
14.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 19.23% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 66.5% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.129 -0.13)41.1% (0.12799999999999 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.131 -0.13)63.49% (0.131 0.13)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96% (0.046000000000006 0.05)41.04% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41% (0.042999999999999 0.04)77.59% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)11.48% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (-0.177 -0.18)36.34% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    HamKam 14.27%
    SK Brann 66.48%
    Draw 19.23%
HamKamDrawSK Brann
1-0 @ 4.2% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 14.27%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.23%
0-2 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.96% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 66.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Viking FK 3-0 HamKam
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
Monday, May 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-7 HamKam
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 2-2 Haugesund
Sunday, May 12 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 1-1 HamKam
Sunday, May 5 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-1 HamKam
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Kristiansund
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-3 Molde
Sunday, May 26 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 2-2 Brann
Monday, May 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Sandefjord
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 0-2 Brann
Sunday, May 12 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 3-0 Rosenborg
Saturday, May 4 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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