Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.
Result | ||
Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Aveley |
52.85% ( 2.44) | 23.72% ( -0.53) | 23.42% ( -1.92) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.18% ( 0.47) | 46.82% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.92% ( 0.44) | 69.08% ( -0.44) |
Hampton & Richmond Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% ( 1.11) | 17.67% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.69% ( 1.89) | 48.3% ( -1.9) |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.77% ( -1.39) | 34.22% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% ( -1.52) | 70.92% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Aveley |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.85% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.42% |
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