Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest KF Ballkani win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
