SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Ashdod |
58.15% ( -0.78) | 23.22% ( 0.45) | 18.63% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 48.79% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( -1.33) | 50.48% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( -1.19) | 72.41% ( 1.19) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( -0.74) | 17.09% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.72% ( -1.33) | 47.28% ( 1.33) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( -0.39) | 41.16% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( -0.35) | 77.7% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Ashdod |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.63% |
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