Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
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