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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
26.07% ( 0.07) | 24.79% ( 0.04) | 49.14% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( -0.12) | 49% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( -0.11) | 71.08% ( 0.11) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( -0.01) | 33.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.24% ( -0.01) | 69.76% ( 0) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.1) | 19.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( -0.16) | 52.14% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.13% |
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