SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Southend United |
31.71% ( 0.02) | 24.83% ( 0.01) | 43.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( -0.04) | 45.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( -0.04) | 68.28% ( 0.03) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( -0.01) | 27.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( -0.01) | 63.04% ( 0.01) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.03) | 21.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.91% ( -0.04) | 54.08% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.71% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.46% |
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