SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
18.37% ( -0.05) | 21.78% ( -0.04) | 59.86% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( 0.11) | 44.84% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( 0.11) | 67.2% ( -0.11) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( 0) | 38.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.08% ( 0) | 74.92% ( -0.01) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( 0.07) | 14.57% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.35% ( 0.13) | 42.64% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.37% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 59.85% |
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