SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Bala Town |
29.14% ( -0.09) | 24.53% ( -0.04) | 46.32% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% ( 0.14) | 45.88% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% ( 0.13) | 68.19% ( -0.13) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.01) | 29.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.84% ( 0.01) | 65.16% ( -0.01) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 0.11) | 19.9% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% ( 0.18) | 52.02% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.14% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.32% |
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