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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
FS

Heerenveen
1 - 0
Sittard

Veerman (5')
Dresevic (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sambou (59'), Baghdadi (76'), Lake (90+4'), Duarte (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heerenveen in this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawFortuna Sittard
48.14%24.62%27.24%
Both teams to score 55.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56%47.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35%69.66%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24%19.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19%51.81%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59%31.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21%67.79%
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 48.14%
    Fortuna Sittard 27.24%
    Draw 24.62%
HeerenveenDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.14%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.24%

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