SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Oxford City |
58.15% ( -3.91) | 22.03% ( 1.01) | 19.81% ( 2.9) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.16) | 43.82% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( 0.16) | 66.2% ( -0.16) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( -1.16) | 14.77% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.97% ( -2.27) | 43.03% ( 2.27) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64% ( 3.35) | 36% ( -3.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.22% ( 3.27) | 72.78% ( -3.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.93)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.88)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.57)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.73% Total : 58.15% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.03% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.66)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.22)Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.81% |
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