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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2021 at 5pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
KL

Hoffenheim
3 - 0
FC Koln

Kramaric (7' pen., 75' pen.), Baumgartner (28')
Bebou (13'), Posch (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cestic (6'), Skhiri (56'), Mere (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
51.8%22.39%25.81%
Both teams to score 61.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54%38.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24%60.76%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52%43.48%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23%27.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65%63.35%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 51.8%
    FC Koln 25.81%
    Draw 22.38%
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.6%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 51.8%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-1 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 25.81%

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