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HL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
KL

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
FC Koln

Kramaric (90+4')
Bebou (32'), Stach (78'), Grillitsch (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Finkgrafe (79')
Schmitz (55'), Maina (76'), Chabot (76'), Finkgrafe (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 FC Koln

As already mentioned, Hoffenheim tend to score and concede in almost every match they take part in, and we do not expect any different on Sunday. The visitors should be confident after returning to winning ways last weekend, and they could move out of the bottom three with a victory here. However, we can envisage the two sides playing out a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
50.7% (0.61 0.61) 22.83% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 26.46% (-0.653 -0.65)
Both teams to score 60.44% (-0.762 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)40% (0.739 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.77 -0.77)62.36% (0.76799999999999 0.77)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)15.95% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (-0.103 -0.1)45.22% (0.102 0.1)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (-0.858 -0.86)28.1% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (-1.099 -1.1)63.77% (1.098 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 50.7%
    FC Koln 26.46%
    Draw 22.83%
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.263 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.7%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.152 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 26.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, January 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-4 Dortmund
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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