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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 21
Sep 26, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Ostgotaporten

Norrkoping
2 - 1
Varbergs

Adegbenro (1'), Wahlqvist (61')
Agardius (22'), Levi (74'), Fransson (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Karlsson (24')
Winbo (30'), Liljeback (86'), Johansson (90+4')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Norrkoping and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.

Result
IFK NorrkopingDrawVarbergs BoIS
64.39%20.01%15.59%
Both teams to score 52.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14%41.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74%64.26%
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.71%12.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.96%38.03%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.29%39.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61%76.38%
Score Analysis
    IFK Norrkoping 64.39%
    Varbergs BoIS 15.59%
    Draw 20.01%
IFK NorrkopingDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 10.72%
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 6.92%
4-0 @ 3.93%
4-1 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 64.39%
1-1 @ 9.45%
0-0 @ 4.88%
2-2 @ 4.57%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.01%
0-1 @ 4.5%
1-2 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.59%

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