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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 at 11.30am UK
San Siro
CL

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Cagliari

Darmian (77')
Brozovic (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nainggolan (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
73.93%15.86%10.21%
Both teams to score 51.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.27%35.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.19%57.81%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.73%8.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.12%28.88%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.86%44.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.76%80.24%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 73.93%
    Cagliari 10.21%
    Draw 15.86%
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 11.34%
3-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 5.87%
4-1 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.93%
5-1 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 1.96%
6-0 @ 1.22%
6-1 @ 1%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 73.93%
1-1 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 3.79%
0-0 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 15.86%
1-2 @ 3.04%
0-1 @ 2.98%
0-2 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 10.21%

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