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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
RM

Inter Milan
0 - 2
Real Madrid


Gagliardini (19'), Vidal (33'), Sensi (86')
Vidal (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hazard (7' pen.), Hakimi (59' og.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawReal Madrid
39.99%24.44%35.58%
Both teams to score 59.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.86%43.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.46%65.54%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38%21.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.27%54.73%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12%23.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92%58.08%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 39.99%
    Real Madrid 35.58%
    Draw 24.43%
Inter MilanDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.99%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-1 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.06%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 35.58%


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