Ipswich
0 - 1
Newport

Aluko (21')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abraham (4')
Livermore (42'), Collins (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Ipswich Town and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Newport County
32.09%	27.27%	40.64%

Both teams to score 49.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03%

55.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94%

77.06%

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71%

32.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21%

68.79%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97%

27.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61%

62.39%

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 32.09%

Newport County 40.64%

Draw 27.26%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.09%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.64%