Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Hussein (57' pen.),
Jasim (75')
Amer Ojaimi Al Rikabi (52'), Hassan (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Iraq Under-23s 1-2 Ukraine Under-23s
There is little to separate these two nations seeking to make a positive start on matchday one in their quest to secure a top-two finish in Group B. Both sides have the potential to cause each other problems in the final third, but we are backing Ukraine to edge this contest in Lyon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq Under-23s win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Ukraine Under-23s had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Ukraine Under-23s win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq Under-23s would win this match.
| Result |
| Iraq Under-23s | Draw | Ukraine Under-23s |
58.57% ( -8.62) | 22.4% ( 1.78) | 19.03% ( 6.84) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( 9.96) |
| 53.46% ( 5.07) | 46.54% ( -5.08) |
| 31.18% ( 4.59) | 68.81% ( -4.59) |
| 84.43% ( -1.09) | 15.56% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.48% ( -2.06) | 44.51% ( 2.06) |
| 61.58% ( 12.43) | 38.41% ( -12.43) |
