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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 39
May 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Fatih Terim Stadium

Istanbul
2 - 1
Ankaragucu

Aleksic (63'), Fernandes (88')
Chadli (17'), Aleksic (48'), Fernandes (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paintsil (15')
Sarlija (17'), Kitsiou (43'), Lukasik (58'), Cekici (59'), Kulusic (79')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Ankaragucu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawAnkaragucu
54.41%23.41%22.19%
Both teams to score 53.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22%46.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96%69.04%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91%17.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72%47.29%
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67%35.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91%72.1%
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 54.41%
    Ankaragucu 22.19%
    Draw 23.4%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-0 @ 5.55%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 54.41%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.19%

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