SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kasimpasa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
29.49% ( -0.03) | 23.27% ( 0) | 47.24% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( -0.02) | 39.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( -0.02) | 62.19% ( 0.02) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( -0.03) | 25.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.08% ( -0.04) | 60.92% ( 0.04) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( 0) | 17.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( 0.01) | 47.39% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 4.08% Total : 47.24% |
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