Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Austria had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%).
