Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
