Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
