Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 41.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 28.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 1-0 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
