SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Galatasaray |
26.48% ( -0.6) | 22.86% ( 0.1) | 50.66% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% ( -0.95) | 40.12% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.51% ( -0.99) | 62.49% ( 0.99) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.93) | 28.16% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% ( -1.2) | 63.84% ( 1.2) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( -0.17) | 16.01% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.67% ( -0.31) | 45.33% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.62% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.66% |
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