SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Hatayspor |
58.2% ( 2.42) | 21.46% ( -0.41) | 20.34% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.41% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( -0.77) | 40.44% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( -0.79) | 62.82% ( 0.79) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% ( 0.5) | 13.64% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.18% ( 0.98) | 40.82% ( -0.98) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -2.3) | 33.52% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( -2.6) | 70.16% ( 2.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.52)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.41) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.21% Total : 20.34% |
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