SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Cyprus |
51.86% ( 0.45) | 25.12% ( -0) | 23.01% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( -0.39) | 52.9% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% ( -0.33) | 74.51% ( 0.33) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( 0.03) | 20.4% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( 0.05) | 52.82% ( -0.05) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( -0.64) | 37.98% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( -0.62) | 74.75% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Cyprus |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.01% |
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