SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
43.78% ( 0.01) | 27.02% ( 0.01) | 29.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( -0.05) | 56.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( -0.04) | 77.1% ( 0.05) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( -0.02) | 25.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( -0.03) | 60.21% ( 0.03) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( -0.04) | 34.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% ( -0.05) | 71.13% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.2% |
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