SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
27.55% ( 0.02) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 47.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( -0.03) | 47.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( -0.03) | 69.85% ( 0.03) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0) | 31.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( -0) | 67.64% ( 0) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.02) | 20.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0.04) | 52.22% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.73% |
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