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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 19, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 

La Equidad
1 - 2
Deportivo Pasto

Fuentes (11')
Carlos Pestana (73')
Carlos Pestana (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garcia (37' og.), Medina (67')
Aponte (32'), Martinez (69'), Medina (77'), Montero (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between La Equidad and Deportivo Pasto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Equidad win with a probability of 42%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Deportivo Pasto had a probability of 27.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a La Equidad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Deportivo Pasto win it was 0-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
La EquidadDrawDeportivo Pasto
42%30.16%27.84%
Both teams to score 40.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.21%66.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.88%85.12%
La Equidad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43%31.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.03%67.97%
Deportivo Pasto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51%41.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01%77.99%
Score Analysis
    La Equidad 42%
    Deportivo Pasto 27.83%
    Draw 30.15%
La EquidadDrawDeportivo Pasto
1-0 @ 15.1%
2-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 7.66%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 42%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 13.1%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.15%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 27.83%

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