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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Jul 8, 2021 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
FD

LA Galaxy
3 - 1
Dallas

Raveloson (17'), Cabral (27'), Zubak (51')
DePuy (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jara (71')
Twumasi (54'), Cerrillo (57'), Obrian (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawDallas
40.46%26.51%33.03%
Both teams to score 52.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25%52.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62%74.38%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36%25.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46%60.54%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98%30.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86%66.14%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 40.45%
    Dallas 33.03%
    Draw 26.5%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawDallas
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.03%

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