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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 3
Apr 25, 2021 at 10.30pm UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
NY

LA Galaxy
3 - 2
NY Red Bulls

FT(HT: 1-2)
Gutman (26'), Hernandez (41', 60'), Casseres Jr (63')
Grandsir (63'), Clark (87'), Alvarez (90+1'), Davis (90+6'), Yearwood (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNew York Red Bulls
40.64%24.13%35.23%
Both teams to score 60.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28%41.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88%64.12%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71%53.29%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58%23.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59%57.41%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 40.64%
    New York Red Bulls 35.23%
    Draw 24.12%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.73%
1-0 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-1 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.23%

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