Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
