SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Ilves |
19.74% ( 0.08) | 23.58% | 56.68% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.58% ( 0.1) | 50.41% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.65% ( 0.09) | 72.35% ( -0.09) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0.14) | 39.88% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.46% ( 0.13) | 76.54% ( -0.14) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% ( 0.01) | 17.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.84% ( 0.01) | 48.15% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 19.74% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.67% |
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