SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lamia win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Kifisia had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lamia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Kifisia win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lamia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lamia | Draw | Kifisia |
36.6% ( 0.03) | 27.65% ( 0) | 35.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.07% ( -0) | 56.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.16% ( -0) | 77.84% ( 0) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.02) | 29.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( 0.02) | 65.92% ( -0.02) |
| Kifisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.02) | 30.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( -0.02) | 66.55% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lamia | Draw | Kifisia |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.59% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.75% |
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