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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Dec 2, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Lanus
6 - 2
Bolivar

Orozco (26', 54'), Belmonte (40', 49'), Acosta (63'), Orsini (86')
Bernabei (28')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Riquelme (4'), Rey (73')
Riquelme (52'), Flores (70'), Rey (89')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Lanus and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawBolivar
55.64%23.22%21.13%
Both teams to score 52.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77%47.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54%69.46%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.19%16.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.22%46.78%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39%36.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.61%73.39%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 55.64%
    Bolivar 21.13%
    Draw 23.22%
LanusDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.78%
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 55.64%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.13%

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