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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 30, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
G

Lanus
1 - 2
Gremio

Belmonte (69')
Perez (36'), Quignon (56'), Aude (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (34'), Ferreira (86')
Thiago (29'), Pereira (44'), Silva (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Gremio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Lanus win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
LanusDrawGremio
32.52%24.09%43.39%
Both teams to score 60.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73%42.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32%64.67%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77%25.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02%59.98%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31%19.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.31%51.68%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 32.52%
    Gremio 43.39%
    Draw 24.08%
LanusDrawGremio
2-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 4.89%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 43.39%

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