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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6
Nov 14, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 1
Crusaders

McDaid (69'), Cosgrove (73')
Randall (82'), Cosgrove (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Caddell (81')
Hegarty (22'), Lecky (40'), McGonigle (53'), Clarke (77')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawCrusaders
38.59%27.37%34.04%
Both teams to score 49.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03%55.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93%77.07%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12%63.88%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03%30.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72%67.27%
Score Analysis
    Larne 38.58%
    Crusaders 34.04%
    Draw 27.36%
LarneDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.58%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.04%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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