Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Larne had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
