SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
46.96% ( 0.06) | 25.41% ( -0.01) | 27.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( 0.04) | 50.53% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( 0.03) | 72.45% ( -0.03) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( 0.04) | 21.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% ( 0.06) | 54.58% ( -0.06) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.01) | 32.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( -0.01) | 69.3% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.96% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.62% |
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