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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
IL

Lazio
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Milinkovic-Savic (55')
Fares (37'), S (43'), Lazzari (79'), Patric (86')
Immobile (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (30')
Lukaku (42'), Vidal (70'), Young (78'), Barella (90+3')
Sensi (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawInter Milan
25.73%22.16%52.11%
Both teams to score 62.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.56%37.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.33%59.67%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.73%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45%14.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.41%42.59%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 25.73%
    Inter Milan 52.11%
    Draw 22.16%
LazioDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.45%
1-0 @ 5.16%
2-0 @ 3.35%
3-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 1.45%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 25.73%
1-1 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 3.97%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 9.58%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 6.16%
0-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 4%
1-4 @ 2.97%
0-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.93%
1-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 52.11%


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