LDU Quito
5 - 2
Union La Calera

Fernandez (15' og.), Amarilla (28', 33'), Arce (58', 60')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Saez (55', 90+3')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between LDU Quito and Union La Calera, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Union La Calera
58.07%	22.41%	19.52%

Both teams to score 52.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.12%

45.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8%

68.19%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49%

15.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.59%

44.41%

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5%

37.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72%

74.28%

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 58.06%

Union La Calera 19.52%

Draw 22.41%

LDU Quito	Draw	Union La Calera
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 6.16% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.87% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.06%	1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.41%	0-1 @ 5.7% 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.52%