After a narrow defeat at the home of Rennes last time out, Le Havre should be confident of picking up a positive result on home turf against Ligue 1's bottom club.
Montpellier have been terrible since returning from the last international break, and we expect that downwards trend to continue for the visitors to Stade Oceane this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
0.81) 
-0.18) 
