Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
