Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sampdoria in this match.
-0.05) 
0.23) 
