Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.14%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.26) 
